报告题目：Opportunities swept away: How do floods affect children’s educational outcomes in rural China?
报 告 人：史新杰 浙江大学
报告题目：发表高质量中文期刊的体会认识
报 告 人：仇童伟 南京农业大学
报告时间：2025年5月30日（周五）下午3:00
报告地点：经管学院C301会议室
报告人简介：
史新杰，浙江大学中国农村发展研究院、公共管理学院、共享与发展研究院研究员。研究重点关注共同富裕背景下农村经济社会转型发展的一系列议题，在《经济研究》、《管理世界》、Journal of Health Economics、Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization等刊物发表学术论文40余篇，出版专著/教材2部。主持国家自然科学基金等国家和省部级课题十余项。荣获第九届“中国农村发展研究奖”、“钱学森城市学金奖”提名奖、浙江省经济学会 2023 年度优秀成果一等奖、浙江第二十二届“哲学社会科学优秀成果奖”二等奖和青年奖。入选国家级青年人才、浙江省高层次人才特殊支持计划青年人才、浙江省之江青年拔尖人才。
仇童伟，南京农业大学三亚研究院院长助理，江苏高校“青蓝工程”优秀青年骨干教师。在《管理世界》（5篇）《经济学动态》《中国农村经济》、JDS、CER、AJARE等刊物发表录用论文100余篇，人大复印资料和新华文摘转载10余次。主持国家级项目4项、省部级项目4项，出版著作3部。获第六届洪银兴经济学奖、第九届中国农村发展研究奖、广东省哲学社会科学优秀成果一等奖、江苏哲学社会科学优秀成果三等奖、广东省科技进步二等奖等奖励。担任中国农业经济学会青年（工作）委员会常务委员、中国农业技术经济学会理事、中国农业风险管理研究会青年（工作）委员会委员、中国农业社会化服务研究（青年）专家委员会委员。相关咨询报告刊发于《经济日报》内参《信息专报》《南方智库专报》《中国社会科学（内部文稿）》等，获得省部级领导肯定性批示。理论观点由新华社、经济日报、光明网等采访报道，其中新华社采访报道4次，中华人民共和国中央人民政府官网（中国政府网）转载2篇。
报告内容简介：
一、The frequency of natural disasters has surged globally in recent years. However, the existing literature paid limited attention to the role of government and individual disaster response strategies on shaping human capital outcomes in disaster-affected populations. This paper uses the 1998 nationwide floods in China as a quasi-natural experiment to estimate the loss of educational opportunities for rural children exposed to natural disasters. By matching county-level precipitation anomaly data with the 2010 census data, the difference-in-difference analysis showed that individuals in early life stages (ages 7-15) in rural areas exposed to stronger floods experienced a significant reduction in educational opportunities. This negative impact of the 1998 China floods on educational opportunities was more pronounced among females and impeded intergenerational mobility in rural areas. The mechanism behind this finding is twofold. First, the impact of flooding increased the burden on rural households and reduced their investment in their children’s education, with this deprivation effect being particularly pronounced in areas more dependent on the primary sector. Second, due to early experiences of flooding, there is an increased likelihood of parents migrating to cities for work. While the potential increase in income may have positive effects, the negative impact of leaving children behind tends to dominate. However, post-disaster investment in education from the government helped mitigate the long-term negative impacts of the floods to some extent. This paper minimizes estimation bias caused by population migration and re-emphasizes the negative impacts of natural disasters on human capital accumulation, elucidating the different response behaviors of the government and farm households, contributing to understanding the impact of different actors’ responses to natural disasters on the long-term human capital accumulation of the offspring, providing a reference for post-disaster relief efforts in countries or regions in transition.
二、报告以报告人近期发表的高质量中文期刊为例，分享关于论文写作、选题以及修改的一些体会和认识。内容包括：1.论文的前期思考与积累；2.论文写作静候一个契机；3.论文内容一览；4.论文审阅与修改的体会。
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西北农林科技大学
经济管理学院
